Most picks articles will tell you which side the writer is taking and why. This one is a little different.If you want to know which sides I like, you can find that info at the SportsLine link below, where all my rated plays appear during the season along with my five SuperContest picks each week and plenty of great analysis from a fantastic collection of experts. You can also check out where all our CBS Sports staff lands on .But each week in this space, I'm going to go behind the lines and picks to bring you a bit of a deeper dive into what you should know before locking in your plays. That includes which lines are on the move, which home-field advantages aren't getting enough credit, which injuries you should be monitoring, my top teaser play of the week and plenty more.Let's get right to it.My picksOver at Sergio Rodriguez Jersey SportsLine, and likely have more on the way in the coming days. Join now and and you can get mine and every SportsLine expert's picks throughout the year, as well as my SuperContest picks each Saturday. Biggest line move -3.5 at When the Week 1 lines came out in April, I hit over at SportsLine. We've seen a significant move on four of those lines over the summer and preseason. I recommended +3.5, and they're either down to Falcons +1 or a pick 'em at most sites. I liked -3.5, and that line is all the way up to Ravens -7.5. I suggested Charles Barkley Jersey -4.5 and they're now up to Vikings -6.5, and I liked the -1.5, which is now Rams -4 and could easily go up by kickoff Monday. More NFL If we reduce our timeframe down to just this week, the two lines we've seen change the most are Falcons-Eagles and Steelers-Browns. We know why people are pounding the Falcons, as is officially out along with top target . So let's focus on the Steelers game, which was Steelers -5 at the Westgate as of Sunday morning but was down to Steelers -3.5 as of Wednesday night. This is after the line already moved significantly to the Browns over the summer, as it opened at Steelers -6.5 at Westgate and even at Steelers -7 in many books.What's at play here? had already been traded to the Browns by the time the lines opened, so you can throw that theory out. The Browns used their four top-35 picks on a quarterback who won't play on Sunday, a good cornerback who nonethele s had many suggesting the team should have brought in , an offensive lineman who may start the year on the bench and a running back who'll start the year buried on the depth chart. Those players shouldn't have much of an effect on this matchup. Three big factors are at play here. First, the Browns just starred in HBO's yearly NFL doc "Hard Knocks," so people have gotten to know this group of players and have started to talk themselves into the Jerryd Bayless Jersey Browns actually being good. Two, the Steelers have become known for road letdowns against poor teams. They only won by three in last year's opener against the Browns (never mind that it took a garbage-time TD to get it under double digits), then lost to the in overtime in their next road game. They needed a fourth-quarter comeback to beat the in Indy coming out of their bye. Why would this matchup be any different?Three, was expected to be with the team by now, but that hasn't happened. That to me is the biggest reason for this late line movement, as bettors start to realize that the team won't have one of its top offensive weapons in Week 1. But should Bell, or any running back, move a line by 1.5 points? I'm skeptical, and I think the Steelers -5 line was the correct spot for this one. I'd expect smart money, which was likely on the Browns back in April, to come in hard on Steelers -3.5 hoping to catch a middle with a Steelers win by four or six points. Home-field edges to know -1.5 at I broke down during the preseason, and Week 1 features the team that surprisingly had the best raw HFA number heading into 2018: the Dolphins. Miami is historically considered to be one of the worst home-field advantages in the league, so I'm not ready to automatically give the Dolphins as many pointsfor HFA as the raw numbers suggest, but it's still worth a better-than-average 3.5 points to me at this point. That means that for this line to be accurate, the Titans should be favored by five points on a neutral site. That seems like a lot for this Titans team, doesn't it?Falcons at -149ers at Vikings -6.5 at -3Bears at -7.5Four teams that are playing this week get four points of home-field advantage to me: the Eagles, Vikings, Broncos and Packers. If my numbers are accurate, that means the Seahawks are being rated as one point better than the Broncos and the Falcons are considered three points better than the Eagles without Carson Wentz. Whether you agree or disagree will determine where you think you should be betting these lines. at Colts -3 -3 at Conversely, here's the two teams that I have rated with just two points of home-field advantage this week. The Colts have been better offensively on the road in two of the last three years. The Giants struggled defensively at home last year, and we'll see if they can right the ship in 2018. When accounting for this reduced home field, the lines say Allen Iverson Jersey the Colts are being rated one point better than the Bengals, while the Jaguars are five points better than the Giants.Injuries to watchTitans -1.5 at Dolphins at -3.5On Wednesday, I around the league and what you should be keeping in mind heading into the Week 1 matchups. The Vikings saw four players listed as limited, including left tackle and cornerback . Losing either could be the difference in covering this line or not. The Colts' presumably mediocre defense could be in even worse shape with three key defenders limited on Wednesday. The and Jaguars also listed key players as limited.I see two games at potentially delivering the biggest injury edge. The Titans listed , , and all as limited. On one hand it's good news, as Conklin and the two edge rushers looked on the wrong side of questionable heading into the week. But they're not out of the woods yet, and the lo ses of any of these players could swing this game. In the AFC West battle, Chargers edge rusher popped up as limited with a foot injury. This is the type of injury that could tip the balance, as this defense must have consistent pa s rush to slow the Chiefs offense. On the other side, was a non-participant in Wednesday's practice due to a hip injury. I've been high on the Chiefs this preseason, taking them at +320 to win the AFC West, but their defense absolutely can't afford to lose Berry for a Jahlil Okafor Jersey lengthy period of time again.Fading the public at Ravens -7.5Bengals at Colts -3 at -9.5Titans -1.5 at DolphinsSeahaws at Broncos -3 at -3If 80 percent of the action or more is on one side of a line, you want to be thinking about taking the other side, a practice commonly known as fading the public. This week, there's a whopping games that qualify in Week 1! Re
